WN 4875 · ATL → BWI

departs 7:44 AM ET · arrives 9:51 AM ET

Your aircraft is N909WN (B737), coming in as WN 351 from AUS: landed 7:09 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4875 · ATL → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?