WS 1113 · FLL → YYZ

took off 12:16 PM ET · landed 2:46 PM EDT (scheduled 11:43 AM ET → 2:49 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YYZ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2.2 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at YYZ that day

↑ 11am departures from FLL are often late

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

YYZ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1113 · FLL → YYZ

Odds over time

How late did it get to YYZ?