WS 1410 · YYC → MCO

departs 9:00 AM MDT · arrives 4:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts −26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1410 · YYC → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?