Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
WS 1411 · MCO → YYC
departs 11:41 AM ET · arrives 3:27 PM MDT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/12 16%
Fri 10/16 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YYC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
YYC usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
YYC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.