YV 6119 · IAD → PIT

left the gate 8:36 AM ET · taxiing (scheduled 8:42 AM ET → 9:57 AM ET)

Your aircraft is N86322 (E75L), coming in as YV 6255 from TYS: landed 8:24 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at PIT that day

↑ YV's recent on-time record

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into PIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip1.92 in

PIT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6119 · IAD → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?