YX 3719 · EWR → YQB

took off 10:25 AM ET · expected to land 11:30 AM EDT (scheduled 10:23 AM ET → 12:24 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at YQB more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YQB?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from EWR are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.08 in

YQB (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3719 · EWR → YQB

Odds over time

How late will it get to YQB?