YX 5808 · BOS → JFK

took off 2:38 PM ET · landed 3:35 PM ET (scheduled 1:35 PM ET → 3:10 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JFK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.68 in

JFK (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5808 · BOS → JFK

Odds over time

How late did it get to JFK?