Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 9931
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
YX 9931 · JFK → LGA
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 9:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.93 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.93 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.