9E 4961 · LGA → CVG

left the gate 2:25 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 1:57 PM ET → 4:01 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N313PQ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5186 from ILM: landed 1:11 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LGA that day

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

CVG (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.06 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4961 · LGA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?