9E 5021 · HSV → DTW

took off 4:10 PM CT · expected to land 6:32 PM ET (scheduled 2:04 PM CT → 5:01 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
97%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ HSV is prone to delays

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5021 · HSV → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?