Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5044 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:12 AM ET (3 H 31 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

9E 5044 · CVG → JFK

departs 7:31 AM ET · arrives 9:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at JFK that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at CVG that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5044 · CVG → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?