Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5252 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Today

9E 5252 · EWR → RDU

departs 9:31 AM ET · arrives 11:11 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9am departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

RDU (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5252 · EWR → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?