9E 5309 · ATL → CHA

took off · landed 9:30 AM ET (scheduled 8:39 AM ET → 9:37 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CHA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at CHA that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Arrivals into CHA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5309 · ATL → CHA

Odds over time

How late did it get to CHA?