9E 5361 · PWM → LGA

departs 11:33 AM ET · arrives 1:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 567 ft, visibility down to 2.66667 mi forecast at LGA that day

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ 11am departures from PWM are usually not late

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.10 in

LGA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling567 ft Visibility2.66667 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5361 · PWM → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?