9E 5366 · LGA → BUF

departs 7:59 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BUF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.08 in

BUF (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5366 · LGA → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?