9E 5406 · DTW → YYZ

took off 4:04 PM ET · expected to land 4:45 PM EDT (scheduled 4:17 PM ET → 5:34 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYZ?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5406 · DTW → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?