tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5451 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

9E 5451 · RDU → LGA

departs 7:56 AM ET · arrives 9:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.