9E 5479 · CVG → DTW

took off 8:48 AM ET · landed 9:36 AM ET (scheduled 7:57 AM ET → 9:15 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DTW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at CVG that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.06 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5479 · CVG → DTW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DTW?