9E 5496 · LGA → HSV

departs 1:29 PM ET · arrives 3:03 PM CT

Your aircraft is N228PQ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5364 from ROC: landed 1:16 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

97% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LGA that day

↓ HSV usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

HSV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5496 · LGA → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?