Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1002 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

9K 1002 · AUG → BOS

departs 12:36 PM ET · arrives 1:26 PM ET

Your aircraft is KAP426 (C402), coming in as 9K 426 from BOS: landed 12:27 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 12pm departures from AUG are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUG (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1002 · AUG → BOS

Odds over time