Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1020 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

9K 1020 · SJU → EIS

departs 2:35 PM AT · arrives 3:51 PM AST

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at EIS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EIS?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SJU that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EIS

↓ Arrivals into EIS at that hour are usually not late

↓ EIS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

EIS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1020 · SJU → EIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to EIS?