Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1856 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:57 PM ET, ETA 6:58 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 12 Today

9K 1856 · RKD → BOS

took off 5:57 PM ET · expected to land 6:58 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 5pm departures from RKD are usually not late

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

RKD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1856 · RKD → BOS

Odds over time