Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 2021 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

9K 2021 · PVC → BOS

departs 8:44 AM ET · arrives 9:41 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PVC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from PVC are usually not late

Weather at each end

PVC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.58 in

BOS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 2021 · PVC → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?