Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 2041 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

9K 2041 · PVC → BOS

departs 11:23 AM ET · arrives 12:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PVC that day

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PVC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.58 in

BOS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 2041 · PVC → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?