Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 5050 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12

9K 5050 · BOS → RKD

departs 5:07 PM ET · arrives 6:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at RKD more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RKD?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into RKD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.57 in

RKD (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 5050 · BOS → RKD

Odds over time

How late will it get to RKD?