Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
9X 128 · DUJ → IAD
departs 6:08 PM ET · arrives 7:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16 21%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave DUJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
6pm departures from DUJ are usually not late
Weather at each end
DUJ (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAD (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.97 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.