Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 802
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
9X 802 · LAX → IPL
departs 8:20 AM PT · arrives 9:53 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 8%
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IPL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IPL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at IPL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IPL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
This route's recent record
↑
9X's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
IPL (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.