Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 806
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
9X 806 · LAX → IPL
departs 4:34 PM PT · arrives 6:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IPL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IPL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at IPL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IPL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Other factors
↓
IPL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
IPL (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.