Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 807
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
9X 807 · IPL → LAX
departs 6:27 PM PT · arrives 8:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave IPL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
6pm departures from IPL are usually not late
Weather at each end
IPL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.