Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 808
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
9X 808 · LAX → IPL
departs 8:33 PM PT · arrives 10:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at IPL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IPL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IPL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IPL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into IPL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.26 in
IPL (destination)
Gusts 30 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.