AA 1578 · ONT → DFW

took off 7:09 AM PT · expected to land 11:27 AM CT (scheduled 7:01 AM PT → 12:04 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from ONT are usually not late

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.18 in

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1578 · ONT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?