AA 2058 · PHL → SAT

departs 6:14 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM CT

Your aircraft is N9008U (A319), coming in as AA 3294 from CMH: landed 4:49 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

SAT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2058 · PHL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?