tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2486 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 2486 · AMA → DFW

departs 6:04 AM CT · arrives 7:23 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.