AA 2713 · LAX → BOS

took off 11:50 AM PT · expected to land 7:35 PM ET (scheduled 10:01 AM PT → 6:35 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
81%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2713 · LAX → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?