Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2759 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 8:49 AM CT (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

AA 2759 · DFW → SAT

departs 8:28 AM CT · arrives 9:45 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2759 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?