AA 2764 · BOS → PHL

left the gate 7:50 AM ET · taxiing (scheduled 8:03 AM ET → 9:40 AM ET)

Your aircraft is N449AN (A21N), coming in as AA 567 from PHX: landed 12:31 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHL that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.32 in

PHL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2764 · BOS → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?