tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2914 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 2914 · ORD → LGA

departs 8:09 AM CT · arrives 11:18 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.