AA 2998 · LAX → ORD

departs 9:50 AM PT · arrives 4:00 PM CT

Your aircraft is N463AA (A21N), coming in as AA 1043 from DFW: landed 8:27 AM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.22 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2998 · LAX → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?