Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3054 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:49 AM CT (16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

AA 3054 · DFW → AUS

departs 9:24 AM CT · arrives 10:32 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3054 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?