tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3078 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:24 PM ET, ETA 6:16 PM ET)
Today

AA 3078 · JAX → PHL

took off 4:24 PM ET · expected to land 6:16 PM ET (scheduled 4:17 PM ET → 6:34 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    99%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.