AA 383 · LAX → ORD

took off 6:07 AM PT · expected to land 11:30 AM CT (scheduled 6:05 AM PT → 12:32 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.22 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 383 · LAX → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?