AA 51 · LHR → DFW

took off 9:06 AM BST · expected to land 12:25 PM CT (scheduled 8:56 AM BST → 1:07 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 51 · LHR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?