Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 58 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Today

AF 58 · CDG → DEN

departs 1:25 PM CEST · arrives 3:39 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±4 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at DEN that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 58 · CDG → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?