Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 792 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

AM 792 · GDL → SLC

departs 3:39 PM CST · arrives 7:23 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±8 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GDL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GDL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AM 792 · GDL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?