AM 793 · SLC → GDL

departs 9:42 AM MT · arrives 1:38 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at GDL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GDL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GDL

↓ Arrivals into GDL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.79 in

GDL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AM 793 · SLC → GDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to GDL?