tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1423 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:54 AM AKT, ETA 5:46 AM PT)
Today

AS 1423 · ANC → SEA

took off 1:54 AM AKT · expected to land 5:46 AM PT (scheduled 1:25 AM AKT → 5:44 AM PT)
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    26%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.