Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 306 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:48 PM ET (58 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

AS 306 · BOS → SEA

departs 6:38 PM ET · arrives 9:43 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 306 · BOS → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?