Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 494 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:24 AM PT, ETA 3:55 PM CT)
Today

AS 494 · SEA → SAT

took off 10:24 AM PT · expected to land 3:55 PM CT (scheduled 9:38 AM PT → 3:46 PM CT)
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
43% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAT?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    38%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.