AS 516 · SEA → FLL

took off 8:26 AM PT · expected to land 4:32 PM ET (scheduled 8:23 AM PT → 5:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 516 · SEA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?