AS 712 · LAX → SEA

departs 1:08 PM PT · arrives 3:52 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±3 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

SEA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 712 · LAX → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?